Research on Global Warming Gets Grimmer and Grimmer

Earth will hit dangerous 2C global warming level within 80 years

Our chances of keeping warming under risky levels by the end of this century are increasingly slim, according to two new studies published Monday in the journal Nature Climate Change.

Ocean temperatures are warming due to climate change. There's a 90 percent chance temperatures will climb by at least 2 degrees Celsius by the end of the century - and they could get nearly 5 degrees higher.

Adrian Raftery, a UW professor of statistics and sociology and lead author on the new study, said while their analysis is compatible with previous estimates, it shows "we're closer to the margin than we think".

"Our estimates are based on things that have already happened, things we can observe, and they point to the part of future warming that is already committed to by past emissions", Mauritsen said.

SNES Classic Preorders Coming Soon, 'Significant' Improvement in Stock
The regular NES Classic was in high demand but not so high supply, and Nintendo has been accused of keeping stock short on goal . You'll be able to pre-order the Super Nintendo Classic Edition starting later this month , Nintendo announced .

"Indeed, damages from heat extremes, drought, extreme weather and sea level rise will be much more severe if 2-degree Celsius or higher temperature rise is allowed".

"This is due to the fact that much of the expected future population growth will be in Africa, in countries whose carbon emissions are now very low", said Raftery.

"It is achievable, but only with major, sustained effort on all fronts over the next 80 years", Raftery explained in a university news release. Using statistical tools, the authors found that there's a 5 percent chance Earth will warm 2 degrees or less by the end of this century and a 90 percent chance that temperatures will increase from 2.0 to 4.9°C if historical trends continue unabated. Furore surrounding the American president's withdrawal from the agreement is not unwarranted, with the news that there's a 1% chance that its target - consigning global warming to under 1.5 degrees in the next century - being met. Findings state that the latter is barely credible with only a 1% chance that temperatures will go above less than 1.5-degrees Celsius.

Now, new research suggests a lot of that warming is unavoidable - no matter how much we cut emissions. "The window of opportunity on a 1.5-degree [C] target is closing". Climate change is not a worst case scenario but in the future carbon will have to be removed from the atmosphere.

Apple is copying Windows Phone's best feature with next iPhone
That alone, he said, is proof that Apple is indeed planning a facial-recognition feature in its upcoming handset. Well, it looks all the rumors are true, and we have Apple to thank for the biggest iPhone 8 leak to date.

The study shows a 13 percent chance that Earth is already bound to warm up 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit by 2100.

Global carbon emission projections through the year 2100, per year (left) and cumulative (right).

Mauritsen, author of the second study, noted that even though Carbon dioxide has a long lifetime in the atmosphere, the ocean's absorption capacity could reduce estimates of global warming by 0.2 degrees C. Mauritsen and his co-author, Robert Pincus, arrived at an estimated warming of 1.3 degrees by 2100, along with the estimated ocean factor of 1.1 degrees C. According to another study published Monday in the same journal, researchers from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill said in a statement that global air pollution caused by climate change, if not addressed, is likely to cause 60,000 deaths around the world by 2030. "On the contrary, avoiding the higher temperature increases that our model envisages is even more important, and also requires urgent action".

Trump to Sign Bill Imposing New Sanctions on Russia, White House Says
The legislation puts Trump in a hard position. "And we want to make sure that they're tough sanctions and that they're durable sanctions".

Share

Related News

  • Sprint profitable for first time in three years

    Sprint profitable for first time in three years

    Asked about the sustainability of the return to profitability, Claure pointed to the revenue growth of the past few quarters. Net income was $206 million - or $0.05 per share - compared to a loss of $302 million - or $0.08 EPS a year ago.
    Eurozone inflation remains below European Central Bank  targets

    Eurozone inflation remains below European Central Bank targets

    While a Purchasing Managers' Index pointed to broad-based economic growth, price pressures showed further signs of easing in July. The updated manufacturing PMI from Markit showed a modest positive surprise when released this morning, rising to 55.1 from 54.2.
    Samsung Electronics develops new LTE modem technology

    Samsung Electronics develops new LTE modem technology

    To get such speeds, mobile operators allow the chips to grab multiple LTE frequencies, like 800Mhz and 1.8GHz, and combine them. Samsung expects to begin mass production of the mobile processor which will adopt the new technology by the end of 2017.
  • Kansas sees no issues with juvenile ruling

    Kansas sees no issues with juvenile ruling

    ME eliminated parole more than four decades ago, so all life sentences are imposed without the possibility of parole. Those inmates could join the program after serving 20 years or 25 years if convicted of first-degree murder.

    Liverpool slap a huge price on Coutinho to scare off Barcelona

    Meanwhile, Catalan radio station RAC1 has reported that Barça have already reached an agreement over personal terms with Coutinho. They can not wait till the end of the transfer window, as they will also need time to sign Neymar's replacement.
    Russian Federation  sanctions: Trump's hand forced by Senate vote

    Russian Federation sanctions: Trump's hand forced by Senate vote

    There are hundreds of staff members in Russian Federation , including workers constructing an embassy building in Moscow. The legislation specifies that President Trump can't ease the sanctions without congressional approval.
  • Discovery Buys Animal Planet Owner for $11B

    Discovery Buys Animal Planet Owner for $11B

    Xact Kapitalforvaltning AB's holdings in Scripps Networks Interactive were worth $1,967,000 at the end of the most recent quarter. The company had revenue of $1.75 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $1.76 billion.
    Mosque Blast in Afghanistan Kills 20 People

    Mosque Blast in Afghanistan Kills 20 People

    Although Herat, on the border with Iran, is considered a peaceful city, an ISIS linked group is known to be active in the region. One doctor told the Associated Press news agency that 20 bodies had been transported to his hospital.
    Trump ready to sign Russian Federation  sanctions bill, Moscow retaliates

    Trump ready to sign Russian Federation sanctions bill, Moscow retaliates

    Russia's Foreign Ministry said it was ordering the USA embassy in moscowa to reduce the number of its diplomats by September 1. The White House says Trump supports sanctions on the three countries in question and will review the legislation.
  • UK High Court Rules to Protect Blair From War Crime Prosecution

    UK High Court Rules to Protect Blair From War Crime Prosecution

    The report, which prompted the current legal challenge, ruled that Blair had overstated the threat posed by Saddam. While the crime of aggression is recognised in worldwide law, the judges said it does not apply retroactively.
    Million PlayStation 4 Units Have Been Shipped Worldwide

    Million PlayStation 4 Units Have Been Shipped Worldwide

    This significant increase was primarily due to increases in Financial Services and Semiconductors segment sales . Looking ahead, for fiscal 2018, the company maintained earnings forecast, while listed sales view.
    Congress accuses government of indirectly encouraging cow vigilantism

    Congress accuses government of indirectly encouraging cow vigilantism

    Kharge said, seeking to know how many First Information Reports had been filed and how numerous accused were in jail. The BJP charged the rival parties with "enacting a drama in the name of secularism" to defame Modi.